Production economics of summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus aquaculture in a recirculating system
- UNCW Author/Contributor (non-UNCW co-authors, if there are any, appear on document)
- J. Kevin Yates (Creator)
- Institution
- The University of North Carolina Wilmington (UNCW )
- Web Site: http://library.uncw.edu/
- Advisor
- Wade Watanabe
Abstract: An economic analysis is conducted for a summer flounder grow-out operation using a recirculating
aquaculture system (RAS) based on engineering and biological parameters from the University of North Carolina at
Wilmington’s near-commercial scale RAS facility located in Wrightsville Beach, NC. The analysis determines the
profit-maximizing facility scale and harvest size, returns to management, and the sensitivity of financial performance
to key biological, engineering, and economic parameters. Monte Carlo analysis is used to assess the impacts of
uncertainty in flounder prices, electricity costs, and interest rates on financial performance. The UNCW study of
summer flounder production in a near-commercial scale RAS (Carroll et al. in press) is used as a basis for developing
simulation models of commercial scale summer flounder RAS facilities. All models assume that fish reach an average
of 1.5 lbs (marketable size) with an 80 % survival rate and a feed conversion ratio (FCR) of 1.8 (the average FCR over
all growth phases, and the lowest FCR observed during the first 7 months, of the UNCW near-commercial scale field
study). The following key characteristics are used to distinguish alternative systems: system scale (0.5-acre, 1-acre,
and 3 x 1-acre systems), length of grow-out cycle (13.4 and 20-months), tank size (15, 20, and 27 ft diameters),
outdoor (security fence) vs. indoor (building) systems, tank type (fiberglass, steel, and glass coated steel), and fish
transfer schedule (between tanks). Each model is analyzed assuming one of two alternative grow-out periods: 20 or
13.4 months. The 20-month cycle corresponds to the mean grow-out period for summer flounder raised in the UNCW
near commercial scale field study, and the 13.4-month cycle corresponds to the top 5% of the fastest growing flounder
reaching marketable size (1.5 lbs) in the UNCW study. Each commercial-scale system is defined by a set of
biological, engineering, and economic parameter values. For each system, estimates of revenues, capital costs,
variable costs, fixed costs, and total costs are developed per grow-out cycle and per year. Break-even price, returns to
management per grow-out cycle, and returns to management per year are calculated to assess the relative financial
performance of alternative systems over a 10-year planning horizon. The most cost-effective system (i.e., the system
with the lowest break-even price) is a 3 x 1-acre, 27 ft diameter, steel tank, indoor (using a building) system, with a
13.4-month grow-out cycle, utilizing a fish transfer procedure, with a break-even price of $3.53 (break-even price was
$4.43 for the 20-month grow-out cycle). Sensitivity analyses and Monte Carlo analyses revealed that growth rate is
the most critical determinant of financial performance, followed by capital costs and fingerling costs. At the 20-month
growth cycle, sensitivity analyses revealed that break-even price was most sensitive to changes in growth rates,
followed by initial investment costs, fingerling costs, feed costs, and electric costs. Present value returns (cumulative) for a 10-year planning horizon for one of the 3 x 1-acre facilities using the most cost-effective facility design range
from negative $50,000 to positive $300,000 for the 20-month growth cycle model, whereas present value cumulative
10-year returns for the 13.4-month growth cycle model are always positive and range from $675,000 to $1,175,000.
The significant impact of growth cycle length on financial returns emphasizes the financial importance of biological
research targeting improvements in summer flounder growth rates.
Production economics of summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus aquaculture in a recirculating system
PDF (Portable Document Format)
239 KB
Created on 1/1/2009
Views: 5686
Additional Information
- Publication
- Thesis
- A Thesis Submitted to the University of North Carolina at Wilmington in Partial Fulfillment Of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science
- Language: English
- Date: 2009
- Keywords
- Aquaculture--Economic aspects, Aquaculture stations--North Carolina--Research, Aquaculture stations--North Carolina--Wilmington, Fish hatcheries--North Carolina--Wilmington, Flatfishes--Research--North Carolina, Hatchery fishes--North Carolina--Wilmington, Paralichthys--Growth
- Subjects
- Aquaculture -- Economic aspects
- Aquaculture stations -- North Carolina -- Wilmington
- Aquaculture stations -- North Carolina -- Research
- Hatchery fishes -- North Carolina -- Wilmington
- Fish hatcheries -- North Carolina -- Wilmington
- Paralichthys -- Growth
- Flatfishes -- Research -- North Carolina