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It’s the Economy, Maybe: Economists Predict Presidential Winner

UNCG Author/Contributor (non-UNCG co-authors, if there are any, appear on document)
Andrew C. Brod, Director, Center for Business & Economic Research (Creator)
Institution
The University of North Carolina at Greensboro (UNCG )
Web Site: http://library.uncg.edu/

Abstract: Every four years, political-economic forecasters have their moment in the sun. Mostly economists by training, these analysts use statistical models to predict the winner of the presidential election on the basis of economic conditions. They collect economic data from past election years and they record who won those elections. Then they look at how the economy is doing during the current election year and make their predictions accordingly. This year, the models are predicting a Bush win in November.

Additional Information

Publication
Brod, Andrew (2004). It’s the Economy, Maybe: Economists Predict Presidential Winner. Greensboro News & Record. September 26, 2004
Language: English
Date: 2004
Keywords
2004 Election, Economics, Economic influence