Smith, Andrew R.

asu

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Attempts To Debias Wishful Thinking In The 2016 U.S. Presidential Election 2017 249 People’s preferences for an outcome can influence how they perceive the likelihood of that outcome over others. For example, a football fan may overestimate the likelihood of his favorite team winning an upcoming game. This phenomenon is referred to ...
The Desirability Bias Beyond Dichotomous Outcomes 2019 26 Wishful thinking refers to the increased likelihood of predicting an outcome due to a preference for that outcome. Research exploring wishful thinking has been limited to dichotomous decisions even though many decisions involve more than two outcomes...